Market Analysis: GBPJPY Signals an Impending Bearish Trend Reversal
The GBPJPY currency pair has shown significant price action since early August 2024. Initially, the pair recovered from a steep decline, finding strong support at the 179.990 level. This support marked the beginning of a bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, as the pair neared the 200.660 supply zone, it faced substantial resistance, weakening bullish momentum and hinting at a potential shift toward a bearish outlook.
GBPJPY Significant Zones
Resistance Levels: 200.660, 208.010
Support Levels: 192.460, 179.990 
The daily Relative Strength Index indicates a considerable reduction in price momentum, highlighting growing bearish pressure. Additionally, the Moving Averages have dipped below key daily levels, confirming a bearish crossover and signaling a possible trend reversal.
On the 4-hour chart, multiple bearish breaks of structure suggest that sellers are gaining control. However, the 4-hour RSI points to a potential short-term corrective rally as the price approaches oversold territory. This indicates a possible rebound toward the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) before resuming the bearish trajectory.
Market Expectation
The GBPJPY trend appears to be transitioning from bullish to bearish. While short-term corrective action is possible due to oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart, broader daily indicators suggest sustained downside momentum. To confirm a bearish bias, traders should watch for a decisive break below the bullish trendline, along with sustained price action below key moving averages and recent support levels. Monitoring these signals alongside forex signals can provide valuable insights for navigating the evolving market landscape.
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