USDCHF Analysis – Market Reaches an Overbought State
USDCHF buying momentum declines as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates that the market is overbought. The price is approaching the 0.92450 supply zone. The selling pressure from the supply zone is likely to cause a significant decline in the discount zone.
USDCHF Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 0.92450, 0.94400
Support Levels: 0.88920, 0.83320
Until the beginning of the year 2024, the market was bearish. As indicated by the MA Cross, more bears stormed the market following the crash beyond the 0.88920 price level in November 2023. At 0.83320, USD/CHF experienced a reversal as the price bounced off the 0.83320 support. The bears exited the market, thereby leading to an increase in the buying pressure for USDCHF. Moreover, the RSI suggested an impending pullback or total reversal, as the market was extremely oversold in the discount zone.
Following the bounce off the 0.83320 support, a new trend began. The market flipped bullish, with prices forming higher highs and higher lows. A rising trendline emerged alongside the new trend, typically acting as a diagonal support for the price.
A bullish order block formed just a few pips above the $0.90000 psychological level. A bounce off the bullish order block is likely to cause a break of structure at 0.91920 into the premium zone. Once USDCHF reaches the 0.92450 supply zone, a significant crash becomes highly probable.
Market Expectation
The order flow of USDCHF on the four-hour chart is bullish. A weak low has formed at 0.90740 as a BOS (Break of Structure) is impending. Invalidation of the weak low might lead the price into the bullish order block in the discount zone. USD/CHF is expected to resume its bullish trend until the 0.92450 supply zone is reached.
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