USD/CAD Long-Term Analysis: Bearish
USD/CAD has been in a sideways trend as buyers emerge in the oversold region. Presently, the currency pair is in a downward move after retesting the overhead resistance at level 1.2900. The pair fell above the moving averages and made an upward correction. The upward correction was terminated as USD/CAD fell below the moving averages. This indicates that selling pressure has resumed. Meanwhile, on March 11 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement indicates that the currency pair will fall to level 2.0 Fibonacci extension or level 1.2502.
USD/CAD Indicator Analysis
The currency pair is at level 41 of the Relative Strength Index for period 14. The pair is in the downtrend zone and below the centerline 50. USD/CAD is likely to further decline to the previous low. The moving averages are sloping horizontally indicating the long sideways trend. Presently, the market has fallen below the 20% range of the daily stochastic. The currency has been in the oversold region since March 22.
Technical indicators:
Major Resistance Levels – 1.3300, 1.3400, 1.3500
Major Support Levels – 1.2300, 1.2200, 1.2100
What Is the Next Direction for USD/CAD?
On the 4-hour chart, USD/CAD is in a downtrend as buyers emerge in the oversold region. The pair has fallen and broken below the previous low at level 1.2625. Meanwhile, on March 16 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement indicates that the currency pair will fall to level 1.272 Fibonacci extension or level 1.2642. From the price action, USD/CAD has fallen to the low of level 1.2605.
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