Market Analysis: Price Rises Into the Overbought Region
In April 2024, the GBPJPY market witnessed a noteworthy structural break, catalyzing a robust bullish rally that propelled prices toward the formidable resistance level of 200.500. This surge, however, was met with a pronounced retracement, with prices descending to a key order block. Despite this pullback, the order block has since functioned as a springboard for the resumption of the bullish trend.
GBPJPY Significant Zones
Resistance Levels: 194.940, 200.500
Support Levels: 189.930, 186.400
The recent phase of the bull run is characterized by a series of short bullish candles, signaling a reduction in volatility and a more measured ascent in price. This trend is further corroborated by the daily Moving Average, which indicates sustained bullish conditions as prices consistently remain above the established threshold.
Moreover, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the price has entered the overbought territory. This condition typically precedes a potential retracement, implying that while the bullish momentum is strong, a degree of caution is warranted among market participants.
Market Expectation
Despite the overbought signals, there is an anticipation in the market that prices will challenge and potentially breach the 200.500 resistance level, setting new highs in the process. Based on the current price action, the market outlook remains bullish in the short term, up until such new highs are realized.
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