Lori Logan, the President of the Dallas Federal Reserve, has reiterated that the central bank is likely to lower interest rates “gradually” to manage risks in the economy. The Fed is concerned that the job market could weaken, and inflation could heat up again if it moves too aggressively. Logan’s comments align with those of other Fed officials, like Chris Waller and Neil Kashkari, who also favor a cautious approach to rate cuts.
A gradual reduction in interest rates implies that the Fed is trying to balance economic growth with inflation control. While lower rates generally weaken the U.S. dollar by making American assets less attractive to foreign investors, a slow and measured pace of rate cuts might limit the downward pressure on the dollar. The Fed’s current focus is on avoiding abrupt moves that could destabilize the economy or worsen inflationary pressures.
Despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report for September, the Federal Reserve remains cautious about the labor market’s future. Logan’s remarks highlight the increased risks to employment, even though recent data showed a robust labor market. The Fed’s concern is that this strength might not be sustainable, and a cooling job market could undermine broader economic stability.
Labor Market and Inflation Concerns
On the inflation front, Federal Reserve officials continue to express concerns about prices not cooling fast enough. With inflation still above the Fed’s target, the central bank is unwilling to move too quickly in cutting rates. Higher inflation typically erodes the purchasing power of the dollar, but if the Fed manages to gradually bring it under control, it could prevent a sharp decline in the dollar’s value.
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